Cincinnati Reds Discussion

[Brutus_buckeye]

It was not Bryan Price. It is just the statistical numbers are playing out. Also, at the beginning of the year, 3 of their starters were on the DL so losing that pitching production and given the offense started slowly is why they started the way they did.

The experts were predicting them to win around 70 games this year and they are likely to do that still. Chances are they may even exceed their wins from the last couple of years this year, which is statistically where they are expected to be based on beginning of the year numbers.

The biggest problem is the Reds decided to suck at the beginning of the year instead of August so that fans lost interest early.

[jmecklenborg]

The Reds are still in last place in the NL Central, but have 10 more wins than both the Royals and the Orioles.  They are closer to first in their division than all of the other last-place teams except for The Padres. 

There is a decent chance that the Reds could end the season 10 games under .500, and possibly get closer to .500, which isn't a terrible season, and is indicative of a potential outburst in 2019.

Look at how KC has collapsed from its back-to-back 2014-15 World Series appearances.  People argue that the inequity in the league doesn't matter since a small market club occasionally makes it to the World Series, but any team that does so is looking at a subsequent 40-year drought. 

[Ram23]

The win probability graph from the Reds win over the Indians last night - the Reds scored 7 runs with 2 outs in the 9th inning to come back from a 4 run deficit and win the game:

[jmecklenborg]

^yeah I need to review the events of that game.  Hopefully somebody posts highlights on youtube.

Keep in mind that somehow YOUR last-place Cincinnati Reds have executed two four-game sweeps this season.  One of the Dodgers in LA and the other of the Cubs. 

[Ram23]

^ Some interesting tidbits about the last place reds: over the last 30 games, the Reds have the best record in the National League. With the win over the Indians yesterday, they've won 7 of the last 9 series - 5 of which were against first place teams. Without the dismal 3-15 start under Bryan Price, they'd have a winning record. If they keep this up they'll break out of last place (currently only 1.5 games behind the Pirates) and maybe even eclipse .500. This was supposed to be the hard part of their schedule.

[unusualfire]

The Reds are playing well. They should keep and sign the core. Get a pitcher or 2 in the offseason. Sign Harvey for another year. And lets see what happens.